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Red45
116512.3
116024.4
970410.9
Blue100
546110.0
35964.7
742523.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7210302040608012014016045100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+29
Endgame+31
Fouls+55
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
25Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +55
0Foul points24
45Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1160
#10
24.42.9
24.922.0
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End3.0
blue by 40.3
359
#1
64.71.5
54.252.7
Auto15.8
Teleop38.1
End10.7
Second
1165
#25
12.32.9
22.019.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 11.1
7425
#14
23.42.0
20.618.6
Auto6.4
Teleop17.3
End-0.3
Third
9704
#32
10.92.9
19.116.2
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1
red by 0.8
5461
#35
10.01.5
13.512.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned