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Red31
905916.9
871713.5
733321.2
Blue44
641331.8
80127.6
300920.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67830501001503144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+7
Endgame+5
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
4Coral scored#5
16Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
22Total teleop23
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#7
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points8
31Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7333
#23
21.27.1
21.514.4
Auto2.6
Teleop16.0
End2.7
blue by 10.6
6413
#15
31.84.5
27.122.6
Auto5.9
Teleop24.9
End1.1
Second
9059
#24
16.93.4
18.314.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9
blue by 3.8
3009
#16
20.73.3
24.020.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End6.5
Third
8717
#39
13.53.4
19.916.4
Auto1.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
red by 5.9
8012
#31
7.64.5
16.712.2
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed