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Red49
300920.7
71839.2
970410.9
Blue126
699556.8
764528.3
80127.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010905010015049126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+69
Endgame+77
Fouls+77
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave3
2Coral scored#7
9Coral points34
9Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +41
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
0Processor points6
8Net points20
8Algae points26
28Total teleop69
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#6
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +77
6Foul points6
49Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#16
20.72.1
20.718.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End6.5
blue by 36.1
56.80.9
51.452.3
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
9704
#32
10.93.1
16.213.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1
blue by 17.4
7645
#28
28.30.8
27.127.9
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End2.3
Third
7183
#29
9.23.1
17.514.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
red by 1.6
8012
#31
7.61.3
12.213.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned