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Red127
943258.1
240327.7
950142.1
Blue132
121226.3
913429.9
656041.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11577204060100140160180127132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
18Coral scored#22
64Coral points80
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
88Total teleop100
Reef
7L4#11
7L3#5
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
127Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.11.3
32.433.7
Auto13.9
Teleop35.0
End9.1
red by 16.7
41.43.3
36.339.6
Auto4.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
Second
42.10.8
38.339.1
Auto6.6
Teleop31.9
End3.5
red by 12.2
29.95.0
22.227.2
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End1.7
Third
2403
#22
27.71.3
30.832.1
Auto3.0
Teleop22.8
End2.0
red by 1.4
1212
#13
26.35.0
14.619.6
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned