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Red24
294523.3
414627.5
182810.3
Blue78
69228.8
330936.9
116024.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677502040601001201402478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+42
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +28
3Coral scored#7
10Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
14Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
2Foul points2
24Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#21
27.54.2
18.614.4
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End1.4
blue by 9.4
36.90.7
25.726.4
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End6.3
Second
2945
#30
23.34.2
25.321.0
Auto4.0
Teleop17.8
End1.5
blue by 1.0
1160
#10
24.41.1
22.023.1
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Third
1828
#37
10.34.2
16.212.0
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
red by 1.5
6922
#26
8.81.1
18.719.8
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned