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Red61
116512.3
764528.3
546110.0
Blue75
71839.2
742523.4
99115.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735802040801001206175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
5Coral scored#13
17Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
31Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
8Foul points0
61Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7645
#28
28.31.0
27.926.8
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End2.3
red by 4.9
7425
#14
23.42.1
15.917.9
Auto6.4
Teleop17.3
End-0.3
Second
1165
#25
12.31.7
19.117.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 3.1
991
#20
15.41.4
14.315.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Third
5461
#35
10.01.0
10.99.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End3.1
red by 0.9
7183
#29
9.22.1
14.416.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed