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Red127
943258.1
6021.7
71839.2
Blue82
121226.3
301914.7
99115.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005102040608012014016012782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+47Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +36
16Coral scored#11
59Coral points39
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
18Processor points6
16Net points12
34Algae points18
93Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#3
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
127Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.13.0
38.941.9
Auto13.9
Teleop35.0
End9.1
red by 31.8
1212
#13
26.32.0
16.418.4
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
60
#17
21.73.0
21.024.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End3.2
red by 6.3
991
#20
15.41.2
15.416.6
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Third
7183
#29
9.23.0
16.419.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 5.6
3019
#38
14.72.0
11.313.3
Auto2.3
Teleop11.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsEarned