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Red101
300920.7
456511.2
35964.7
Blue32
99615.4
182810.3
116512.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions995302040608012014010132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+49Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +45
13Coral scored#3
47Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
59Total teleop14
Reef
7L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#6
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
101Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
64.70.7
52.052.6
Auto15.8
Teleop38.1
End10.7
red by 49.3
996
#27
15.42.7
19.116.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End5.3
Second
3009
#16
20.70.7
18.919.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End6.5
red by 8.4
1165
#25
12.32.7
20.317.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Third
4565
#33
11.21.1
14.015.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End3.7
red by 1.0
1828
#37
10.32.7
11.58.9
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed