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Red118
294523.3
116024.4
699556.8
Blue69
871713.5
247830.6
641331.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11355020408010014016011869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
66Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points10
118Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.8
50.451.2
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
red by 25.0
6413
#15
31.80.1
18.718.9
Auto5.9
Teleop24.9
End1.1
Second
1160
#10
24.41.4
22.523.9
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End3.0
blue by 6.2
2478
#12
30.60.1
22.722.8
Auto5.2
Teleop24.1
End1.3
Third
2945
#30
23.31.4
23.925.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.8
End1.5
red by 9.8
8717
#39
13.50.1
13.513.6
Auto1.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed