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Red77
1011421.8
733321.2
546110.0
Blue105
913429.9
822943.9
414627.5
23%Model gave it77%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5980204010012014077105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+40
Endgame+30
Fouls+28
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#16
38Coral points58
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
52Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
2Foul points0
77Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.80.9
21.622.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.5
End5.9
blue by 22.0
43.93.5
22.926.4
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End8.2
Second
7333
#23
21.21.4
23.324.7
Auto2.6
Teleop16.0
End2.7
blue by 8.7
29.93.5
28.431.9
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End1.7
Third
5461
#35
10.00.9
8.39.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End3.1
blue by 17.5
4146
#21
27.53.5
14.618.1
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed