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Red5
248642.7
26625.9
1049111.1
Blue26
970410.9
121226.3
69228.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77470204060100120526

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +8
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop8
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#0
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
5Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.74.0
36.332.2
Auto10.2
Teleop23.8
End8.7
red by 16.4
1212
#13
26.32.0
18.416.3
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
11.16.7
12.96.2
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.9
red by 0.2
9704
#32
10.92.0
9.17.1
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Third
2662
#36
5.96.7
16.59.8
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 2.9
6922
#26
8.82.0
16.714.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed