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Red86
116512.3
99115.4
656041.4
Blue40
80127.6
69819.8
77558.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions904202060801001201408640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+32Teleop
+48Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +29
9Coral scored#4
33Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#0
0Processor points6
16Net points0
16Algae points6
49Total teleop20
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#6
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
12Foul points14
86Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.1
38.037.9
Auto4.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
red by 21.6
698
#19
19.81.7
16.714.9
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Second
991
#20
15.40.1
16.616.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
red by 6.5
7755
#40
8.91.7
10.58.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Third
1165
#25
12.30.1
17.617.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
red by 4.7
8012
#31
7.61.7
11.49.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed