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Red124
35964.7
6021.7
905916.9
Blue33
71839.2
871713.5
294523.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10262020408012014016012433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+89Teleop
+101Endgame
+91Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +75
18Coral scored#2
63Coral points8
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
83Total teleop8
Reef
10L4#1
5L3#1
5L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +91
2Foul points12
124Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
64.71.6
52.654.3
Auto15.8
Teleop38.1
End10.7
red by 41.3
2945
#30
23.34.8
25.320.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.8
End1.5
Second
60
#17
21.72.7
24.026.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End3.2
red by 8.2
8717
#39
13.54.8
13.68.8
Auto1.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
Third
9059
#24
16.92.7
11.814.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9
red by 7.8
7183
#29
9.24.8
19.414.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed