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Red61
656041.4
456511.2
71839.2
Blue38
970410.9
871713.5
6021.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8446020601001201406138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+23Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
9Coral scored#5
32Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
40Total teleop23
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
6Foul points0
61Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.41.4
37.936.6
Auto4.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
red by 19.7
60
#17
21.71.5
26.725.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Second
4565
#33
11.22.3
15.313.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End3.7
blue by 2.3
8717
#39
13.51.5
8.87.3
Auto1.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
Third
7183
#29
9.22.3
14.612.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 1.7
9704
#32
10.91.5
7.15.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed