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Red147
950142.1
699556.8
913429.9
Blue32
77558.9
294523.3
26625.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1482705010020014732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+101Teleop
+115Endgame
+115Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
19Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +88
24Coral scored#4
88Coral points14
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
112Total teleop24
Reef
8L4#2
10L3#2
5L2#0
5L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#7
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +115
0Foul points0
147Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.81.0
53.954.9
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
red by 33.4
2945
#30
23.31.1
20.519.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.8
End1.5
Second
42.11.0
39.840.8
Auto6.6
Teleop31.9
End3.5
red by 33.2
7755
#40
8.91.1
8.87.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Third
29.91.7
31.933.6
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End1.7
red by 24.0
2662
#36
5.91.1
9.88.7
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed