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Red46
182810.3
733321.2
80127.6
Blue130
612717.1
943258.1
247830.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4110005015046130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+62
Endgame+64
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +49
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points51
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
36Total teleop85
Reef
3L4#7
1L3#7
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points20
46Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7333
#23
21.20.7
24.824.2
Auto2.6
Teleop16.0
End2.7
blue by 36.8
58.12.5
46.448.8
Auto13.9
Teleop35.0
End9.1
Second
1828
#37
10.30.7
9.08.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
blue by 20.3
2478
#12
30.62.5
25.427.9
Auto5.2
Teleop24.1
End1.3
Third
8012
#31
7.60.7
9.69.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 9.5
6127
#34
17.12.5
7.910.4
Auto2.1
Teleop15.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed