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Red77
69819.8
69228.8
641331.8
Blue84
300920.7
742523.4
116024.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5778020401001201407784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +6
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
60Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
2Cage & park12
2Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
6Foul points2
77Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6413
#15
31.81.8
19.721.5
Auto5.9
Teleop24.9
End1.1
red by 7.5
1160
#10
24.41.5
21.623.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Second
698
#19
19.81.8
14.916.8
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
blue by 3.7
7425
#14
23.41.5
23.124.7
Auto6.4
Teleop17.3
End-0.3
Third
6922
#26
8.81.8
14.716.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
blue by 11.9
3009
#16
20.70.9
17.618.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed