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Red123
35964.7
121226.3
414627.5
Blue111
330936.9
546110.0
822943.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037120406080120140160123111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+22Teleop
0Endgame0
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +18
17Coral scored#14
61Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
81Total teleop63
Reef
6L4#4
7L3#3
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +22
14Cage & park36
14Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points0
123Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
64.71.1
54.355.4
Auto15.8
Teleop38.1
End10.7
red by 20.8
43.94.3
29.033.3
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End8.2
Second
4146
#21
27.51.8
18.220.1
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End1.4
blue by 9.4
36.92.6
28.731.3
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End6.3
Third
1212
#13
26.31.8
16.318.2
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 16.2
5461
#35
10.02.6
9.211.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned