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Red91
240327.7
301914.7
1011421.8
Blue84
99115.4
99615.4
764528.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72733040506080901009184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+9Teleop
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#13
47Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
75Total teleop62
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
91Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#22
27.72.0
26.628.6
Auto3.0
Teleop22.8
End2.0
blue by 0.6
7645
#28
28.30.7
25.326.0
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End2.3
Second
21.81.2
20.021.2
Auto2.4
Teleop13.5
End5.9
red by 6.4
991
#20
15.40.7
16.517.2
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Third
3019
#38
14.72.0
13.415.4
Auto2.3
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 0.7
996
#27
15.41.1
17.218.3
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed