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Red70
1049111.1
612717.1
294523.3
Blue104
456511.2
699556.8
733321.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2611005010015070104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+18
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points11
6Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#12
42Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
60Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
70Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#30
23.33.0
19.422.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.8
End1.5
blue by 33.4
56.80.0
54.954.9
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
6127
#34
17.13.0
10.413.4
Auto2.1
Teleop15.1
End-0.1
blue by 4.1
7333
#23
21.20.0
24.224.2
Auto2.6
Teleop16.0
End2.7
Third
11.13.0
3.96.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.9
blue by 0.1
4565
#33
11.20.0
13.013.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned