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Red96
248642.7
69228.8
822943.9
Blue109
240327.7
1049111.1
699556.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6611505010015020096109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
6Processor points12
20Net points24
26Algae points36
66Total teleop77
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
6Foul points0
96Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.927.1
47.820.7
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End8.2
blue by 12.9
56.80.9
50.551.4
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
42.72.1
30.232.3
Auto10.2
Teleop23.8
End8.7
red by 15.0
2403
#22
27.71.2
29.630.8
Auto3.0
Teleop22.8
End2.0
Third
6922
#26
8.82.9
15.818.7
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
blue by 2.3
11.110.1
8.919.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned