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Red18
6021.7
77558.9
121226.3
Blue109
330936.9
99615.4
656041.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698420406010012018109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+69
Endgame+91
Fouls+91
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +55
1Coral scored#11
5Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
5Total teleop60
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +91
0Foul points0
18Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#13
26.34.9
19.514.6
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
blue by 15.1
41.42.9
33.436.3
Auto4.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
Second
60
#17
21.74.9
24.920.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End3.2
blue by 15.2
36.92.9
22.825.7
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End6.3
Third
7755
#40
8.94.9
17.913.0
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
blue by 6.5
996
#27
15.44.0
17.221.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned