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Red50
950142.1
182810.3
612717.1
Blue42
414627.5
99115.4
871713.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions935902040801201401605042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
8Coral scored#5
28Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
32Total teleop27
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
8Foul points0
50Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.12.8
41.138.3
Auto6.6
Teleop31.9
End3.5
red by 14.6
4146
#21
27.51.8
20.418.6
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End1.4
Second
6127
#34
17.14.2
13.08.8
Auto2.1
Teleop15.1
End-0.1
red by 1.7
991
#20
15.41.3
15.614.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2
Third
1828
#37
10.34.2
20.416.2
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
blue by 3.3
8717
#39
13.51.8
16.414.6
Auto1.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed