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Red46
247830.6
546110.0
456511.2
Blue52
26625.9
905916.9
69819.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66700501001502004652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
4Coral scored#4
15Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
25Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
6Foul points20
46Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#12
30.61.7
24.122.4
Auto5.2
Teleop24.1
End1.3
red by 10.8
698
#19
19.82.9
22.219.3
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Second
4565
#33
11.21.7
19.217.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End3.7
blue by 5.7
9059
#24
16.92.9
14.912.0
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Third
5461
#35
10.01.1
12.010.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End3.1
red by 4.2
2662
#36
5.92.9
21.118.2
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed