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Red82
656041.4
546110.0
301914.7
Blue80
699556.8
71839.2
182810.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7388204060801001201401608280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
11Coral scored#11
40Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
54Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#6
5L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
82Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.41.2
38.039.2
Auto4.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
blue by 15.4
56.80.5
54.955.4
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
3019
#38
14.71.9
16.318.1
Auto2.3
Teleop11.5
End0.9
red by 4.5
1828
#37
10.30.8
8.79.5
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Third
5461
#35
10.01.2
9.811.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.6
End3.1
red by 0.9
7183
#29
9.20.8
9.09.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned