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Red207
248642.7
35964.7
247830.6
Blue74
1011421.8
950142.1
69819.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139815010015020020774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+109Teleop
+119Endgame
+133Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
26Coral points9
35Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +83
29Coral scored#11
104Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
132Total teleop49
Reef
9L4#6
16L3#4
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
40Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +133
14Foul points0
207Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
64.74.1
56.960.9
Auto15.8
Teleop38.1
End10.7
red by 22.6
42.11.2
40.138.9
Auto6.6
Teleop31.9
End3.5
Second
42.74.1
34.038.0
Auto10.2
Teleop23.8
End8.7
red by 20.8
21.81.2
22.120.9
Auto2.4
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Third
2478
#12
30.66.3
30.136.4
Auto5.2
Teleop24.1
End1.3
red by 10.8
698
#19
19.81.9
19.217.3
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned