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Red57
456511.2
742523.4
871713.5
Blue109
77558.9
943258.1
330936.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3810905010015020057109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points28
13Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
34Total teleop61
Reef
4L4#10
3L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
6Foul points0
57Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7425
#14
23.40.7
22.923.6
Auto6.4
Teleop17.3
End-0.3
blue by 34.7
58.11.6
53.054.6
Auto13.9
Teleop35.0
End9.1
Second
8717
#39
13.50.7
9.310.0
Auto1.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
blue by 23.3
36.91.1
30.932.0
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End6.3
Third
4565
#33
11.20.7
11.512.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End3.7
red by 2.4
7755
#40
8.91.6
8.39.9
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned