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Red105
970410.9
950142.1
414627.5
Blue60
99615.4
1011421.8
121226.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions906620408010012014016010560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+59Teleop
+39Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +52
14Coral scored#6
49Coral points21
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
77Total teleop25
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
6Foul points0
105Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.11.6
38.940.5
Auto6.6
Teleop31.9
End3.5
red by 15.8
1212
#13
26.30.1
21.221.1
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
Second
4146
#21
27.52.4
27.029.3
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End1.4
red by 5.7
21.80.1
20.920.8
Auto2.4
Teleop13.5
End5.9
Third
9704
#32
10.92.4
8.611.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1
blue by 4.5
996
#27
15.40.1
19.319.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned