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Red135
71839.2
35964.7
330936.9
Blue55
414627.5
612717.1
456511.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11551010015013555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+72Teleop
+80Endgame
+80Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave0
8Coral scored#2
38Coral points9
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
14Coral scored#9
51Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
6Processor points0
20Net points8
26Algae points8
77Total teleop40
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +80
0Foul points0
135Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
64.72.2
61.063.2
Auto15.8
Teleop38.1
End10.7
red by 37.2
4146
#21
27.50.2
26.726.5
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End1.4
Second
36.92.2
31.733.9
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End6.3
red by 19.8
6127
#34
17.10.2
15.215.1
Auto2.1
Teleop15.1
End-0.1
Third
7183
#29
9.22.7
6.79.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 2.1
4565
#33
11.20.2
12.412.2
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed