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Red98
69819.8
699556.8
99615.4
Blue53
764528.3
913429.9
182810.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103734060801201409853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousBlue +12
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points15
6Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +31
12Coral scored#8
44Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
62Total teleop31
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#12
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
14Foul points0
98Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.5
55.454.9
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
red by 26.9
29.91.5
30.829.3
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End1.7
Second
698
#19
19.80.6
19.418.8
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
blue by 8.5
7645
#28
28.31.3
28.827.6
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End2.3
Third
996
#27
15.40.6
16.616.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End5.3
red by 5.1
1828
#37
10.31.5
12.110.6
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed