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Red102
80127.6
943258.1
121226.3
Blue20
301914.7
905916.9
69228.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11045010015010220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+64Teleop
+82Endgame
+82Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +54
13Coral scored#2
46Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
60Total teleop6
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
4L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#3
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +82
2Foul points2
102Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.10.6
58.659.2
Auto13.9
Teleop35.0
End9.1
red by 41.2
9059
#24
16.92.2
16.914.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Second
1212
#13
26.30.6
23.324.0
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 11.5
3019
#38
14.72.2
16.614.4
Auto2.3
Teleop11.5
End0.9
Third
8012
#31
7.60.6
7.37.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 1.2
6922
#26
8.82.2
11.39.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed