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Red62
1011421.8
970410.9
247830.6
Blue44
300920.7
182810.3
77558.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744402060801001206244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+24Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
8Coral scored#4
28Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
42Total teleop15
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
12Foul points6
62Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#12
30.60.9
31.230.3
Auto5.2
Teleop24.1
End1.3
red by 9.9
3009
#16
20.70.3
21.321.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End6.5
Second
21.80.8
20.419.6
Auto2.4
Teleop13.5
End5.9
red by 11.6
1828
#37
10.30.3
10.610.3
Auto1.6
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Third
9704
#32
10.90.9
10.69.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1
red by 2.0
7755
#40
8.90.3
10.29.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned