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Red50
99615.4
26625.9
913429.9
Blue75
871713.5
1049111.1
330936.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57593040507080901005075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points35
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
26Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
6Foul points0
50Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.90.6
29.328.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End1.7
blue by 7.0
36.91.3
33.935.2
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End6.3
Second
996
#27
15.40.6
16.015.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.8
End5.3
red by 1.9
8717
#39
13.51.4
12.113.5
Auto1.7
Teleop9.9
End2.0
Third
2662
#36
5.90.6
6.45.9
Auto0.9
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 5.2
11.11.4
9.711.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned