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Red90
248642.7
301914.7
822943.9
Blue120
913429.9
641331.8
970410.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121705010015020090120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+40
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +37
12Coral scored#16
42Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
6Processor points12
12Net points28
18Algae points40
60Total teleop97
Reef
5L4#10
5L3#3
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#29
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
90Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.3
44.243.9
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End8.2
red by 12.0
6413
#15
31.81.0
30.831.7
Auto5.9
Teleop24.9
End1.1
Second
42.70.3
43.042.7
Auto10.2
Teleop23.8
End8.7
red by 12.8
29.91.0
28.829.8
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End1.7
Third
3019
#38
14.70.3
15.114.7
Auto2.3
Teleop11.5
End0.9
red by 3.9
9704
#32
10.91.0
9.810.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1