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Red193
943258.1
35964.7
764528.3
Blue143
699556.8
905916.9
656041.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167120100150200250193143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+52Teleop
+74Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave0
9Coral scored#7
45Coral points33
51Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +34
22Coral scored#15
80Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
106Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#5
7L2#5
7L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#26
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points24
193Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
64.70.9
65.566.4
Auto15.8
Teleop38.1
End10.7
red by 7.9
56.80.0
58.158.1
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
58.10.9
58.959.8
Auto13.9
Teleop35.0
End9.1
red by 16.7
41.40.0
42.742.7
Auto4.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
Third
7645
#28
28.30.9
29.130.0
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End2.3
red by 11.4
9059
#24
16.90.0
18.218.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9