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Red110
822943.9
301914.7
248642.7
Blue66
116024.4
247830.6
99115.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124755010015020011066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+24Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +17
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
18Processor points6
8Net points4
26Algae points10
61Total teleop44
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#14
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
110Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.2
43.543.8
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End8.2
red by 13.3
2478
#12
30.60.1
30.330.2
Auto5.2
Teleop24.1
End1.3
Second
42.70.2
42.442.6
Auto10.2
Teleop23.8
End8.7
red by 18.3
1160
#10
24.40.1
24.124.0
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Third
3019
#38
14.70.2
14.414.6
Auto2.3
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 0.7
991
#20
15.40.1
15.115.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End3.2