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Red63
121226.3
300920.7
733321.2
Blue92
913429.9
641331.8
970410.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79786070901006392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+51
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +45
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points41
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#4
6Processor points18
4Net points16
10Algae points34
30Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#20
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
63Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#13
26.30.1
26.426.3
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
blue by 5.6
6413
#15
31.80.5
30.330.8
Auto5.9
Teleop24.9
End1.1
Second
7333
#23
21.20.1
21.421.2
Auto2.6
Teleop16.0
End2.7
blue by 8.7
29.90.5
28.428.8
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End1.7
Third
3009
#16
20.70.1
20.820.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End6.5
red by 9.8
9704
#32
10.90.5
9.39.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1