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Red175
441572.7
970419.0
943262.9
Blue170
49867.0
394420.7
502661.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159151100120140180200220175170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
9Coral scored#10
45Coral points51
51Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +13
16Coral scored#18
56Coral points65
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#6
24Processor points6
28Net points24
52Algae points30
108Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#13
8L3#6
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
36Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
175Total score170

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.70.6
70.871.4
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
red by 5.7
498
#4
67.00.5
65.866.4
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
Second
62.90.6
61.161.7
Auto18.2
Teleop35.6
End9.1
red by 1.1
61.80.5
60.761.2
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
Third
9704
#33
19.00.6
17.217.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6
blue by 1.7
3944
#32
20.70.6
19.420.0
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2