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Red157
49867.0
394420.7
502661.8
Blue145
240339.2
1025618.9
519962.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15612050100200157145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points37
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +11
20Coral scored#16
73Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
6Processor points12
20Net points20
26Algae points32
99Total teleop88
Reef
11L4#7
8L3#8
4L2#5
4L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points6
157Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
67.00.3
65.665.8
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
red by 4.5
62.50.4
62.062.5
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End11.9
Second
61.80.3
60.460.7
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
red by 22.6
2403
#14
39.20.4
38.839.2
Auto6.4
Teleop31.0
End1.8
Third
3944
#32
20.70.3
19.119.4
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2
red by 1.8
18.90.5
18.518.9
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End1.4