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Red119
441572.7
284011.8
69815.1
Blue78
977721.9
247836.2
970419.0
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1076405015020011978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+29Teleop
+39Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
83Total teleop65
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
2Foul points0
119Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.71.1
59.460.4
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
red by 36.5
2478
#25
36.20.2
30.630.8
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
Second
698
#30
15.10.9
19.820.6
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 6.8
9777
#21
21.90.4
22.122.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.7
End2.7
Third
2840
#22
11.81.4
16.017.4
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.0
blue by 7.2
9704
#33
19.00.2
10.911.1
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed