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Red98
237531.6
1032717.8
121223.9
Blue69
519962.5
266213.4
1038021.1
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7189204060801001201401609869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+15Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
62Total teleop51
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#14
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
98Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2375
#16
31.61.6
25.226.8
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.8
blue by 30.9
62.51.0
58.457.4
Auto14.6
Teleop36.0
End11.9
Second
1212
#17
23.91.3
26.327.6
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.4
red by 2.8
21.14.8
21.116.4
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End1.1
Third
17.82.2
17.820.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End1.0
red by 4.5
2662
#19
13.40.9
5.95.0
Auto2.5
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed