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Red147
385312.5
441572.7
240339.2
Blue68
10119.6
301915.0
647933.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13355010015020014768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+63Teleop
+77Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +49
21Coral scored#11
77Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
109Total teleop60
Reef
9L4#5
7L3#3
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#17
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
2Foul points0
147Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.72.1
60.462.5
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
red by 38.8
6479
#10
33.91.1
25.726.8
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
Second
2403
#14
39.21.9
26.728.5
Auto6.4
Teleop31.0
End1.8
red by 24.2
3019
#29
15.00.9
14.115.0
Auto4.3
Teleop10.1
End0.6
Third
3853
#38
12.53.1
23.826.9
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
red by 2.9
1011
#39
9.61.5
14.816.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsMissed