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Red97
315841.2
247836.2
635231.4
Blue116
502661.8
808716.6
172631.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100946070809011012013097116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+11
Endgame+19
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto23
Teleoperatedlevel
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
69Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#7
2L3#6
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
0Foul points0
97Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#11
41.20.8
33.534.3
Auto4.7
Teleop33.6
End2.9
blue by 20.6
61.82.6
45.247.8
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
Second
2478
#25
36.20.6
30.831.4
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
red by 4.3
31.93.6
21.024.6
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
Third
6352
#12
31.41.1
23.124.2
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End7.7
red by 14.8
8087
#37
16.63.6
17.521.1
Auto0.7
Teleop12.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsEarned