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Red98
880624.7
943262.9
77559.5
Blue27
683310.3
905923.8
394420.7
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1134602060801001401609827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+61Teleop
+71Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
10Coral scored#1
35Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
49Total teleop2
Reef
5L4#0
6L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#1
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
0Foul points0
98Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.90.4
57.457.8
Auto18.2
Teleop35.6
End9.1
red by 39.2
9059
#27
23.81.6
17.315.7
Auto5.2
Teleop15.2
End3.4
Second
8806
#13
24.70.4
24.024.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End6.9
red by 4.0
3944
#32
20.72.6
19.116.5
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Third
7755
#15
9.50.4
10.611.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.4
blue by 0.8
6833
#42
10.32.6
14.211.6
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsEarned