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Red55
553910.6
116529.3
1050626.2
Blue38
121223.9
970419.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454802060801001201405538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
13Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +19
8Coral scored#3
28Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
38Total teleop19
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
2Foul points0
55Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.6
11.412.1
Auto7.0
Teleop20.0
End2.4
red by 5.4
1212
#17
23.90.6
27.626.9
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.4
Second
26.21.1
16.817.9
Auto4.5
Teleop19.8
End2.0
red by 7.2
9704
#33
19.00.6
11.110.4
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6
Third
5539
#20
10.61.1
15.116.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.0
red by 1.6
8.90.6
9.08.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed