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Red49
414629.2
284011.8
357720.3
Blue91
1038021.1
641341.0
1025618.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions677150556065758085904991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+44
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +47
6Coral scored#13
23Coral points48
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#4
6Processor points12
0Net points16
6Algae points28
29Total teleop76
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
49Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#18
29.21.3
26.925.6
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End1.9
blue by 11.9
41.01.1
29.931.0
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
Second
20.32.1
14.812.7
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.3
blue by 0.8
21.11.8
16.418.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End1.1
Third
2840
#22
11.82.1
17.415.3
Auto1.6
Teleop7.2
End3.0
blue by 7.1
18.91.8
16.418.2
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed