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Red125
49867.0
77035.0
884819.9
Blue71
318720.2
237531.6
266213.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10643015012571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +33
18Coral scored#11
64Coral points41
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
18Processor points12
12Net points8
30Algae points20
94Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
12Foul points0
125Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
67.01.0
56.357.3
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
red by 35.4
2375
#16
31.61.1
26.827.8
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.8
Second
8848
#28
19.91.6
20.422.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.4
End1.3
blue by 0.2
3187
#26
20.21.6
16.017.6
Auto4.4
Teleop14.1
End1.7
Third
7703
#36
5.01.6
15.917.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 8.4
2662
#19
13.40.9
5.05.9
Auto2.5
Teleop10.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed22%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed