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Red56
10119.6
441572.7
683310.3
Blue139
733321.5
553910.6
502661.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1008840608012014016056139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+49
Endgame+59
Fouls+83
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave6
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points30
23Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +36
4Coral scored#15
15Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
29Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +83
0Foul points24
56Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.72.3
62.560.2
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
red by 10.8
61.82.4
47.850.2
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
Second
6833
#42
10.33.8
11.67.8
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
blue by 11.2
7333
#35
21.52.2
18.720.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.0
End1.9
Third
1011
#39
9.63.8
16.312.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 0.9
5539
#20
10.63.6
16.219.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned