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Red95
647933.9
635231.4
808716.6
Blue45
1032717.8
385312.5
1038021.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81670501001502002503009545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+42Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +42
16Coral scored#6
57Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
75Total teleop33
Reef
8L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
95Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6479
#10
33.90.5
26.827.3
Auto5.8
Teleop25.8
End2.3
red by 12.7
21.13.5
18.214.7
Auto3.5
Teleop16.5
End1.1
Second
6352
#12
31.40.7
24.224.9
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End7.7
red by 13.6
17.83.5
16.012.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Third
8087
#37
16.60.7
21.121.8
Auto0.7
Teleop12.5
End3.4
red by 4.2
3853
#38
12.53.5
26.923.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed