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Red33
121223.9
909114.4
977721.9
Blue62
357720.3
237531.6
77559.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59624050703362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+33
Endgame+23
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +30
3Coral scored#6
10Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
10Total teleop40
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points6
33Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#17
23.91.4
27.426.0
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.4
blue by 7.6
2375
#16
31.60.2
29.429.6
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.8
Second
9777
#21
21.92.3
17.815.5
Auto3.5
Teleop15.7
End2.7
red by 1.6
20.30.3
12.713.0
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.3
Third
9091
#41
14.42.3
8.56.2
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End1.6
red by 4.9
7755
#15
9.50.2
11.011.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed